2020 Emmy Predictions: Who Will Win

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The Morning Show, Succession, RuPaul's Drag Race and Watchmen
Apple TV+/HBO/VH1/HBO

The 2020 Emmy Awards are tonight, and everyone wants to know: Who will win big? Will Watchmen sweep? Will Schitt's Creek have a victorious farewell? Will Jennifer Aniston win her first Emmy since Friends?

Even though things are going to look a lot different for the 72nd Primetime Emmy Awards, which will be hosted by Jimmy Kimmel and will be held at the Staples Center in Downtown Los Angeles without a live audience amid the pandemic, there's still a lot to celebrate in the last year in TV. The awards show is following strict social distancing guidelines, meaning no live audience, no formal red carpet and no pre-show. And conversations surrounding diversity in Hollywood has been top of mind for many, which could in turn produce some pleasant surprises -- and a slew of first-time winners -- come Sunday evening.

Watchmen is the year's most-nominated program with 26 nominations, including Outstanding Drama Series and Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series for Regina King, as well as acting noms for the majority of its cast. A heavy favorite among critics and fans, the HBO limited series could clean up royally. On the comedy side, outgoing Schitt's Creek could have a fitting end to its momentous five-season run on Pop TV. And Succession, HBO's standout drama series, may finally reign supreme now that Game of Thrones is no longer formidable competition. 

Though we won't know who the big winners will be until Sunday, we're forecasting who we think will be the evening's lucky winners. With just days to go before the social distanced Emmys kick off, ET predicts who will take home the top awards on television's biggest night. 

OUTSTANDING COMEDY SERIES 
Curb Your Enthusiasm 
Dead to Me
The Good Place 
Insecure 
The Kominsky Method
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel 
Schitt's Creek 
What We Do in the Shadows 

Is this the year Schitt's Creek comes out on top? The quirky comedy has one last shot to win the top comedy prize, and we're 99.9 percent sure the cast and crew behind one of TV's most beloved families will be poppin' a lot of champagne. But a win won't come easy, as the Pop TV series will be competing against awards darling (and 2018 winner) Marvelous Mrs. Maisel and category entrant, Issa Rae's Insecure, which is coming off one of its best seasons. 

OUTSTANDING DRAMA SERIES
Better Call Saul
The Crown 
The Handmaid's Tale
Killing Eve 
The Mandalorian
Ozark
Stranger Things 
Succession

With the Games of Thrones era over, HBO could very well dominate this category with its breakout Shakespearean drama, Succession, and we're pretty much banking on it. But determining series winners are almost a fool's errand sometimes because any of the nominated shows are worthy of taking home the win. Disney+'s surprise nominee, the Star Wars spinoff The Mandalorian, could spoil Succession's big night or there may be new appreciation for The Crown.

OUTSTANDING LIMITED SERIES
Little Fires Everywhere 
Mrs. America 
Unbelievable
Unorthodox 
Watchmen 

If there ever was a lock, this would be it. A stacked category, this is Watchmen's to lose and it would be a shocker if anything else but the HBO series wins.

OUTSTANDING COMPETITION PROGRAM
The Masked Singer 
Nailed It! 
RuPaul's Drag Race 
Top Chef 
The Voice 

The Masked Singer and Nailed It! became first-time nominees in this category, and if either wins, it would be a pleasant surprise. But we're putting all our eggs in the RuPaul's Drag Race basket. After winning two straight years, count on the frontrunner to take add another Emmy to its awards mantel.

Insecure

HBO's 'Insecure'

HBO

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
Anthony Anderson, Black-ish
Don Cheadle, Black Monday
Ted Danson, The Good Place
Michael Douglas, The Kominsky Method
Eugene Levy, Schitt's Creek
Ramy Youssef, Ramy

While Ramy Youssef’s debut year is award-worthy -- it did earn him a surprise Golden Globe win -- it’s hard to top Eugene Levy’s performance as patriarch Johnny Rose in the final season of Schitt’s Creek. Considering how late the Television Academy was to the party, expect them to make good Sunday night with overdue accolades for Levy and onscreen wife Catherine O’Hara.

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES
Christina Applegate, Dead to Me
Rachel Brosnahan, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
Linda Cardellini, Dead to Me
Catherine O'Hara, Schitt's Creek
Issa Rae, Insecure 
Tracee Ellis Ross, Black-ish

After Julia Louis-Dreyfus’ rule over the category came to an end in 2017, the category has seen both Rachel Brosnahan and Phoebe Waller-Bridge get a chance to shine with wins in 2018 and 2019. Expect the Academy to continue to spread the wealth and give Catherine O’Hara her first acting Emmy and first Emmy since 1982, when she won for writing for SCTV alongside Eugene Levy.

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
Jason Bateman, Ozark 
Sterling K. Brown, This Is Us
Steve Carell, The Morning Show
Brian Cox, Succession
Billy Porter, Pose 
Jeremy Strong, Succession 

While Billy Porter made history in this category with his acclaimed performance in Pose season 1, the love for Succession has officially taken hold of the Television Academy -- and we expect one of the two leads to take home the prize here. Who will come out on top? Much like the Shakespearean battle over control of Logan Roy’s media conglomerate, we see Jeremy Strong sneaking past Brian Cox for the win here. 

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES
Jennifer Aniston, The Morning Show
Olivia Colman, The Crown 
Jodie Comer, Killing Eve 
Laura Linney, Ozark
Sandra Oh, Killing Eve
Zendaya, Euphoria 

This category is easily one of the most stacked and exciting to watch, with last year’s winner Jodie Comer nominated again, Olivia Colman up for her first go around on The Crown, while Laura Linney and Zendaya are coming off strong seasons of their respective series. However, this is Jennifer Aniston’s to lose, after winning the Screen Actors Guild Award earlier this year. It would also be her first Emmy win in 18 years, when she won for Friends.

The Morning Show

Apple TV+'s 'The Morning Show'

Apple TV+

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE
Jeremy Irons, Watchmen 
Hugh Jackman, Bad Education
Paul Mescal, Normal People
Jeremy Pope, Hollywood 
Mark Ruffalo, I Know This Much Is True 

The category may be packed full of veteran and respected actors, with Jeremy Irons, Hugh Jackman and Mark Ruffalo delivering some of their best performances in recent years, but newcomer Paul Mescal is likely to sneak through with his mesmerizing breakthrough performance on the relationship drama. Chain necklaces for all! 

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE
Cate Blanchett, Mrs. America 
Shira Haas, Unorthodox 
Regina King, Watchmen 
Octavia Spencer, Self Made 
Kerry Washington, Little Fires Everywhere

There has never been a more pre-determined win than this one. Despite formidable performances by the other nominees, who would be valid wins any other year, there’s no topping the momentum for Regina King, who is not only coming off an Oscar win but is an Emmy favorite with three previous wins. Besides, her performance was truly one of the best -- and given the reception for the series at other awards, it’s hard to imagine this going to anyone else.  

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
Mahershala Ali, Ramy
Alan Arkin, The Kominsky Method 
Andre Braugher, Brooklyn Nine-Nine
Sterling K. Brown, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel 
William Jackson Harper, The Good Place 
Dan Levy, Schitt's Creek 
Tony Shalhoub, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
Kenan Thompson, Saturday Night Live

This year's supporting categories are absolutely stacked -- almost unfairly so. When it comes to supporting comedy actor, awards darling Mahershala Ali certainly has a shot for his turn on season 2 of Ramy, and no one could say that Kenan Thompson doesn't deserve to finally win one as SNL's longest-tenured cast member. However, expect the Schitt's Creek love to keep flowing and Dan Levy to score a win in his first-ever Emmy acting nomination.

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES
Alex Borstein, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel 
D'Arcy Carden, The Good Place
Betty Gilpin, GLOW 
Marin Hinkle, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel 
Kate McKinnon, Saturday Night Live
Annie Murphy, Schitt's Creek 
Yvonne Orji, Insecure
Cecily Strong, Saturday Night Live

Two Maisels, two SNLs, two underappreciated BFFs and two final season standouts. Such is the story of the supporting comedy actress category, another totally stacked list. But faced with an impossible choice -- a little bit Alexis or the many faces of Janet? Kate's Elizabeth Warren or Cecily's Jeanine Pirro? -- expect the Academy to stick to its guns and give it to Alex Borstein once again.

I Know This Much Is True

HBO's 'I Know This Much Is True'

HBO

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
Nicholas Braun, Succession 
Billy Crudup, The Morning Show 
Kieran Culkin, Succession
Mark Duplass, The Morning Show 
Giancarlo Esposito, Better Call Saul 
Matthew Macfadyen, Succession 
Bradley Whitford, The Handmaid's Tale 
Jeffrey Wright, Westworld 

With all due respect to Jeffrey Wright, Giancarlo Esposito, Bradley Whitford and The Morning Show fellas, this is shaping to be Succession's year. So long as they don't split the vote (in which case it might be Billy Crudup after all), expect the Roy family to get even richer on Emmys night -- with Kieran Culkin getting the slight edge over his onscreen relatives, Nicholas Braun and Matthew Macfadyen.

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES
Helena Bonham Carter, The Crown 
Laura Dern, Big Little Lies 
Julia Garner, Ozark 
Thandie Newton, Westworld
Fiona Shaw, Killing Eve 
Sarah Snook, Succession 
Meryl Streep, Big Little Lies
Samira Wiley, The Handmaid's Tale 

There isn't a show on this list that the Emmys doesn't love, and most of the nominees are returning honorees as well. Come envelope time, it wouldn't be a surprise to hear Helena Bonham Carter's name, or see Julia Garner win her second in a row. But if it's going to be Succession night in the drama categories, it's time to give Shiv her due and let Sarah Snook walk away with her first major American award.

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE
Yahya Abdul-Mateen II, Watchmen
Jovan Adepo, Watchmen
Tituss Burgess, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt: Kimmy vs. The Reverend
Louis Gossett Jr., Watchmen
Dylan McDermott, Hollywood
Jim Parsons, Hollywood 

Jim Parsons certainly has a deserved shot in this category for his about-face role as Hollywood's predatory agent Henry Willson, but this category will more than likely be one of Watchmen's many wins on Emmy night. And if it's going to be Watchmen, it will probably be Doctor Manhattan himself, Yahya Abdul-Mateen II. Here's hoping his acceptance speech is as epic as his nomination reaction. 

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE
Uzo Aduba, Mrs. America 
Toni Collette, Unbelievable 
Margo Martindale, Mrs. America 
Jean Smart, Watchmen 
Holland Taylor, Hollywood 
Tracey Ullman, Mrs. America

Unbelievable scored three Primetime Emmy nominations this year, but still made many snub lists for neglecting nods to stars Kaitlyn Dever and Merritt Wever. Expect Toni Collette to take this one for the whole team -- over deserving recognition for Watchmen standout Jean Smart and the Mrs. America ensemble -- and maybe she'll share, Cady Heron-style.

The 72nd Primetime Emmy Awards will be broadcast live Sunday, Sept. 20 at 5 p.m. PT/8 p.m. ET on ABC. For more on how to prepare for your at-home Emmy viewing party this year, watch ET's video below. And check our updating 2020 Emmy Awards winners list to see if these predictions pan out.

Originally published Sept. 15, 2020

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