2020 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actress

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Scarlett Johansson, Laura Dern, Florence Pugh
Images via Searchlight Pictures / Netflix / Sony Pictures

It's time to mint a new class of Academy Award winners. ET has spent the entire awards season sussing out which Oscar contenders would become nominees -- and now, which nominees will become winners. On Feb. 9, the Academy will hand out their little gold men, but until then, here's where things stand in the Best Supporting Actress race.

What once promised to be a neck-and-neck Oscars race between Marriage Story's Laura Dern and HustlersJennifer Lopez hit a major snag when, well, the latter wasn't nominated. Instead, that nomination went to either Richard Jewell's Kathy Bates or Little Women's Florence Pugh, depending on who you ask. Now, even with double nominee Scarlett Johansson in the running, anyone but Dern winning here would be a major spoiler.

THE PREDICTIONS

Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell
Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit
Florence Pugh, Little Women
Margot Robbie, Bombshell

Who Will Win:

Laura Dern, Marriage Story

Potential Spoiler:

Florence Pugh, Little Women


Also check out: Best PictureBest Actress, Best Actor, Best Supporting Actor


THE SCORECARD

Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell
Image via Warner Bros.

Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell

The Role: Bobi Jewell, whose son became the FBI's prime suspect in the 1996 Centennial Olympic Park bombings despite being a hero.

Oscar History: One win, for Best Actress in Misery (1991), with two additional nominations, for Best Supporting Actress in Primary Colors (1999) and About Schmidt (2003).

Awards season scorecard:

Golden Globes - Best Supporting Actress (Nominee)
National Board of Review - Best Supporting Actress (Winner)


Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Image via Netflix

Laura Dern, Marriage Story

The Role: Nora Fanshaw, a calculating, unapologetic barracuda who serves as Scarlett Johansson's character's divorce lawyer.

Oscar History: Two nominations, for Best Actress in Rambling Rose (1992) and Best Supporting Actress in Wild (2015).

Awards season scorecard:

BAFTA Awards - Supporting Actress (Winner)
Critics Choice Awards - Best Supporting Actress (Winner)
Golden Globes - Best Supporting Actress (Winner)
Hollywood Film Awards - Hollywood Supporting Actress Award (Winner)
National Society of Film Critics - Best Supporting Actress (Winner)
New York Film Critics Circle - Best Supporting Actress (Winner)
SAG Awards - Female Actor in a Supporting Role (Winner)


Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit
Image via Fox Searchlight

Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit

The Role: Rosie Betzler, the mother to a Nazi-obsessed youth who is secretly hiding a young, Jewish girl in their home.

Oscar History: This is Johansson's first nomination. (She is also nominated for Marriage Story in Best Actress.)

Awards season scorecard:

BAFTA Awards - Supporting Actress (Nominee)
Critics Choice Awards - Best Supporting Actress (Nominee)
SAG Awards - Female Actor in a Supporting Role (Nominee)


Florence Pugh, Little Women
Image via Sony Pictures

Florence Pugh, Little Women

The Role: Amy, the youngest (and most polarizing) of the March sisters who goes from novel-burning baby sister to an established 19th century woman.

Oscar History: This is Pugh's first nomination.

Awards season scorecard:

BAFTA Awards - Supporting Actress (Nominee)
Critics Choice Awards - Best Supporting Actress (Nominee)
National Society of Film Critics - Best Supporting Actress (Runner-up)


Margot Robbie, Bombshell
Image via Lionsgate Movies

Margot Robbie, Bombshell

The Role: Kayla Pospisil, a Fox News true believer-turned-potential whistleblower after enduring Roger Ailes' sexual misconduct.

Oscar History: One nomination, for Best Actress in I, Tonya (2018).

Awards season scorecard:

BAFTA Awards - Supporting Actress (Nominee)
Critics Choice Awards - Best Supporting Actress (Nominee)
Golden Globes - Best Supporting Actress (Nominee)
SAG Awards - Female Actor in a Supporting Role (Nominee)


[This story was originally published on December 10, 2019.]

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